Another botched Russian launch

[adonis1]

Latest Space Track decay prediction is May 8 at 1217 UTC +/-48 hours. That puts prediction time over NE Africa

 

[Analoguesat]

Incoming!!

Tin foil hat time.......

 

[skomedal]

Predictions are site dependent



6 hours ago from
http://imgur.com/47s24Uc
Used by the satflare site

( you pays your money and take your chances )

Regards

 

[skomedal]

Latest prediction if believed from reliable source

Update: Obj.40619 #ProgressM27M decay prediction: May 7, 2015 at UTC 23h01mn ± 8h http://i.imgur.com/YABBgto.jpg #ISS

https://twitter.com/jremis

Data used by satflare site

WARNING: This object is expected to decay around Thu, 07/05/2015 23:01:00 +/- 8 hours UTC (these predictions are provided by Joseph Remis).

http://www.satflare.com/track.asp?q=40619#TOP

Regards

 

[skomedal]

Latest update :-

@jremis · 4h 4 hours ago
Update: Obj.40619 #ProgressM27M decay prediction: May 7, 2015 at UTC 21h38mn ± 3h http://i.imgur.com/8epuvbt.jpg #ISS


Regards

 

[adonis1]

On current decay estimates the UK is safe.

prediction for May 8 at 0859 UTC +/-24 hours.

 

[Analoguesat]

+/-24 hours.

!

 

[skomedal]

List of site predictions for reentry/burn up :-

Current Re-Entry Predictions
USSTRATCOM: May 8, 2015 - 01:47 UTC +/-5 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 19:22]Spaceflight101: May 8, 2015 - 01:54 UTC +/-2 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 19:07]
Satflare: May 8, 2015 - 01:55 UTC +/-2 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 18:30]
Ted Molczan: May 8, 2015 - 02:03 UTC +/-1.9 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 18:30]
Aerospace Corp: May 8 - 01:08 UTC +/-2 Hours [Issued: May 7 - 16:34]
Roscosmos: 22:13-01:51 UTC - May 7/8, 2015 [Issued: May 7 - 13:30]

http://www.spaceflight101.com/progress-m-27m-re-entry.html#update

Regards

 

[skomedal]

[04:00] USSTRATCOM issued a precise Re-Entry Confirmation for Progress M-27M showing orbital decay (80km passage) to have taken place at 02:20 UTC +/-1 Minute. This puts the location of re-entry 830 Kilometers off the Chilean Coast (Center of the window), but given the speed the object was traveling, the decay location may be anywhere from 350 to 1,300 Kilometers off the South American Coast.



http://www.spaceflight101.com/progress-m-27m-re-entry.html#update

Regards

 

[timo_w2s]

I survived, woohoo.

 

[pontiend]

It was said in the paper that tin hats maybe required in Margate Kent this morning.
Luckily it over shot.