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<blockquote data-quote="aatt1111" data-source="post: 138865" data-attributes="member: 192591"><p>Guys, the truth is that some people within the World Health Organization are concerned about management of cases on a global scale. Some might say that they are over-reacting based on previous pandemics (which are worse than epidemics) like the one that happened in 1911. The truth is that medical resources at the time cannot be compared to the ones that we have nowdays (for example, mechanical ventilarory support for those that are under severe respiratory distress was not available at the time). On the other side, many of the developing countries (which most likely are going to have the highest death tolls) are not in a condition to manage a crisis of this magnitude. Even in developed nations, intensive-care units have limited beds available, and a triage approach will most likely be enforced in order to offer those with the best survival chances a place in those units. What we know is that the avian strain does not affect easily the humans (look at how many cases of human flu we see each year as a comparison), but if both strains come into contact, then there is a theoretical chance that a mutated virus will arise that is both aggressive and contagious, and then only God knows what will happen. There is some progress regarding avian-flu vaccination, but it will be available most likely next year. Regarding antiviral medication, the only one that seems to be useful is the Tamiflu (from Roche), but what if the mutated virus becomes resistant to it?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="aatt1111, post: 138865, member: 192591"] Guys, the truth is that some people within the World Health Organization are concerned about management of cases on a global scale. Some might say that they are over-reacting based on previous pandemics (which are worse than epidemics) like the one that happened in 1911. The truth is that medical resources at the time cannot be compared to the ones that we have nowdays (for example, mechanical ventilarory support for those that are under severe respiratory distress was not available at the time). On the other side, many of the developing countries (which most likely are going to have the highest death tolls) are not in a condition to manage a crisis of this magnitude. Even in developed nations, intensive-care units have limited beds available, and a triage approach will most likely be enforced in order to offer those with the best survival chances a place in those units. What we know is that the avian strain does not affect easily the humans (look at how many cases of human flu we see each year as a comparison), but if both strains come into contact, then there is a theoretical chance that a mutated virus will arise that is both aggressive and contagious, and then only God knows what will happen. There is some progress regarding avian-flu vaccination, but it will be available most likely next year. Regarding antiviral medication, the only one that seems to be useful is the Tamiflu (from Roche), but what if the mutated virus becomes resistant to it? [/QUOTE]
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