Earthquake detection and predictions

Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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A Russian site, utilising ground and space based detection.

Some of the findings are eerily accurate.

_http://eng.ntsomz.ru/projects/earthquake
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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Japan didn't appear on the charts, even though a large magnitude quake was long overdue.

_http://eng.ntsomz.ru/projects/earthquake/doda03032011 - annex 3

and a whirlpool

_http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12709856

which suggests Alaska is next, before the west coast of the US.

LA is also suspected of being late for a large one, the tsunami is about 6 hours away from there, and warnings have already been posted.

_http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2011/03/tsunami-watch-in-effect-for-california-oregon-washington-and-alaska.html
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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And the link of the sun-cycles, with cycle 24 now on the rise.

The last one was abnormally long at 12.6 years, the average over the last two centuries has been 10.7, give or take a fraction, which suggests cycle 24 may be somewhat shorter, but faster in the flux changes between trough and peak, which is about now.

Predictions below

"Even a below-average cycle is capable of producing severe space weather," points out Biesecker. "The great geomagnetic storm of 1859, for instance, occurred during a solar cycle of about the same size we’re predicting for 2013."

The 1859 storm--known as the "Carrington Event" after astronomer Richard Carrington who witnessed the instigating solar flare--electrified transmission cables, set fires in telegraph offices, and produced Northern Lights so bright that people could read newspapers by their red and green glow. A recent report by the National Academy of Sciences found that if a similar storm occurred today, it could cause $1 to 2 trillion in damages to society's high-tech infrastructure and require four to ten years for complete recovery. For comparison, Hurricane Katrina caused "only" $80 to 125 billion in damage.




_http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2009/29may_noaaprediction/
 

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Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

Suffering fools, so you don't have to.
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My Satellite Setup
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The older radio amateurs will know about 10.7cm flux and how it can be used to benefit dxing through photo-ionisation.

For those that don't

_http://www.nrc-cnrc.gc.ca/eng/services/hia/radio-monitoring.html

and how this links back to determining solar cycle periods

_http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/
 
Lazarus

Lazarus

Tout Rond Bon Oeuf
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Much else.
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Well I'm a very old Radio Amateur (Licensed 37 years!) and it's a new one on me. Always summat to learn.
 
PaulR

PaulR

Dazed and Confused Admin
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Not something I'm familiar with either. But then I'm not a great HF user.
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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Latest earthquake in Turkey

_http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/

and one from a month ago

_http://eng.ntsomz.ru/projects/earthquake/doda1_news230911
 

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Terryl

Terryl

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OpenBox X5 on a 1 meter motorized dish.
And now a 10 foot "C" band dish.

Custom built PC
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Deep in the Boonies in the central Sierra Nevada mountains of California.
I just watch the cows, if their standing on East side of the San Andreas fault we a re going to have a big one, if they are on the West side then we can relax, and the biggest we can have along this strike-slip fault is around an 8.

It's the subduction fault zone along the Oregon to Alaska corridor we worry about, we can get an 9+ out of that one.
 
satelliteman

satelliteman

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For current updates, these links are helpful.


Code:
http://www.deprem.gov.tr/sarbis/Shared/Anasayfa.aspx

Code:
http://www.emsc-csem.org/#2
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

Suffering fools, so you don't have to.
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Messages
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My Satellite Setup
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My Location
UK South
Another set of earthquakes in northern Japan today, the last one was ten minutes ago, measuring 5.5.

_http://www.emsc-csem.org/#2w

Some reports of minor tsunami waves on the Pacific following a 6.9 one earlier this morning.

_http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=258631
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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My Satellite Setup
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My Location
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Aceh (again) this morning, the 8.7 initial quake isn't thought to have caused major issues, owing to it being nearly 300 miles offshore, however there are some reports of aftershocks somewhat nearer to the populace measuring up to 6.5.

_http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/news/update-magnitude-65-aftershock-reported-in-aceh-tsunami-warning-in-effect/510703

_http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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Three more aftershocks in the past hour all at 5+
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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My Satellite Setup
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And another big one (8.2) in the past ten minutes

_http://www.ndtv.com/article/world/second-earthquake-of-8-2-magnitude-hits-sumatra-196386

Looks like it's going to be a long night over there.
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

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The earth appears to be moving about again.

Some 4.5+ tremors in the past four hours, and a couple of 6's in other parts of the world.

_http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

Suffering fools, so you don't have to.
Staff member
Messages
26,952
My Satellite Setup
A little less analogue, and a lot more crap.
My Location
UK South
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

Suffering fools, so you don't have to.
Staff member
Messages
26,952
My Satellite Setup
A little less analogue, and a lot more crap.
My Location
UK South
Much worse to come, not good at all
 
Channel Hopper

Channel Hopper

Suffering fools, so you don't have to.
Staff member
Messages
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My Satellite Setup
A little less analogue, and a lot more crap.
My Location
UK South
This video shows the absolute power of Saturdays earthquake.

 
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