If the center of the antenna lobes are kept pointing to the same spot in UK the movements
east-west and north-south will have different influence depending on the receiver location.
East-west movements of a satellite will have little influence NE and SW of UK. SE will see
the largest changes. If you fix the center of an ellipse with an imaginary pin in UK and the main
axis down over Italy and rotate it around the pin this will sort of simulate the changes in the
antenna coverage.
I see nothing of the daily and yearly changes some of you experience and my position is
in the NE direction from central UK. It take this as evidence for the assumption that 2F is
kept pointing in the same direction towards UK regardless of any movements in its "box".
The elliptical shape of the antenna lobe (2F UK spot) looks like the projection of a circular beam
on a sphere. If the lobe is noncircular, movements round the "roll-axis" would also change how
the reception is influenced. (and that would ruin my home-made theory)
Attitude control does the trick. It should keep the satellite always pointing at the same direction. For some reasons this is working much better now than let's say, during the spring and summer last year. The variance between the days is since about September much smaller than it used to be. Perhaps they've done a software upgrade or switched the sensors used, or whatever.
3 axis stabilized satellites are more susceptible to perturbing torques in pitch than in roll or yaw. That is the axis through the solar pedals, ie the axis pointing north/south. That would give us the daily east/west movement, which probably also has a smaller north/south component, though i'm not sure if an east/west rotation of the satellite might also cause the variances on the south side. Depends a lot on the 3 dimensional projection . It's very hard to imagine that without a computer simulation.
We anyways need more people on the southern border to monitor the satellite to get a better idea about the movements.
What people reported the last few days was an increasing SNR/Quality _everywhere_ around the border of the main lobe, while people on the border of the other side of the null, at least in north/middle europe reported a decrease. That looks like the "pin" has moved a bit to the SW.
If you don't see any variations in Linkoeping i'd say you are right in the middle of the sidelobe, while Kungsbacka is still on the western border.